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Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 41.53%2.41fair odd
EV +0.912%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.638%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%41.70%41.49%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.4347.62%44.54%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 58.47%1.71fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.30%58.51%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.621.611.6965.79%61.81%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 41.53%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 58.47%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.912%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.912%E +0.375%K +0.638%G +0.006% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-26 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.912%E +0.375%K +0.638%G +0.006% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-26 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.58%E -0.666%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.11%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-26 08:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -1.99%E -0.845%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 08:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-26 08:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 08:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-26 08:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.72%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.18%E -0.699%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.72%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.95%E -6.46%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-26 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.96%E -5.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -11.12%E -7.32%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.