默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-08-26 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 41.53%2.41公平赔率

EV +0.912%

优势 +0.375%

Kelly +0.638%

增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布

39.85%41.70%41.49%44.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.252.252.4347.62%44.54%44.44%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 58.47%1.71公平赔率

EV -1.18%

优势 -0.699%

Kelly -1.71%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

55.70%58.30%58.51%60.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.621.611.6965.79%61.81%62.11%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：41.53%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：58.47%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.41。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.43，对应+0.912%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.912%E +0.375%K +0.638%G +0.006%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-26 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.912%E +0.375%K +0.638%G +0.006%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-26 08:49
Pinnacle🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.58%E -0.666%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.11%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-26 08:29
FanDuel🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -1.99%E -0.845%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-26 08:34
Betsson🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-26 08:34
NordicBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-26 08:34
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-26 08:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-26 08:34
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-26 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-26 08:29
1xBet🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-26 08:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-26 08:39
Coolbet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-26 08:50
BetUS🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-26 08:54
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
ReBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-26 08:34
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-26 08:34
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-26 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 08:54
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 08:54
Unibet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 08:54
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-26 08:54
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.72%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.18%E -0.699%K -1.71%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-25 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.72%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.95%E -6.46%K -18.43%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-26 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.96%E -5.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -11.12%E -7.32%K -21.39%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-26 08:34
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-26 08:34
Coral🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-26 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。