Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Namibia v South Africa

Inizio: 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Namibia (Casa)

Previsione 19.61%5.10quota equa
EV +20.99%
Vantaggio +3.40%
Kelly +4.06%
Crescita +0.852%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.36%18.97%19.73%21.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.864.836.1723.09%20.56%20.70%16.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

South Africa (Trasferta)

Previsione 80.39%1.24quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -2.94%
Kelly -17.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.58%81.03%80.27%84.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.27%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Namibia (Casa): 19.61%; South Africa (Trasferta): 80.39%. Per Namibia (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.10. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.17, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +20.99%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV +20.99%E +3.40%K +4.06%G +0.852%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.64%EV -9.96%E -8.90%K -83.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +17.66%E +2.94%K +3.53%G +0.624%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.96%E -8.90%K -83.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:39
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:49
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:49
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:50
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.55%E -6.57%K -50.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.28%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:45
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:55
GTbets🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.34%E -3.64%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:55
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.34%E -3.64%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:49
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:55
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:50
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:49
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.55%E -6.57%K -50.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:54
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:49
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:50
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:54
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.09%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 11:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-04 11:55
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-04 11:55