语言:简体中文
Namibia v South Africa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Namibia (主队)
预测 19.61%5.10公平赔率
EV +20.99%
优势 +3.40%
Kelly +4.06%
增长率 +0.852%
假设最高赔率为 6.17
博彩公司预测分布
15.36%18.97%19.73%21.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.864.836.1723.09%20.56%20.70%16.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
South Africa (客队)
预测 80.39%1.24公平赔率
EV -3.53%
优势 -2.94%
Kelly -17.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
78.58%81.03%80.27%84.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.27%85.47%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Namibia (主队)：19.61%；South Africa (客队)：80.39%。 对于“Namibia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.10。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.17，对应+20.99%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV +20.99%E +3.40%K +4.06%G +0.852% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.64%EV -9.96%E -8.90%K -83.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +17.66%E +2.94%K +3.53%G +0.624% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.96%E -8.90%K -83.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 06:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.55%E -6.57%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.28%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.34%E -3.64%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.34%E -3.64%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.55%E -6.57%K -50.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.09%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |