預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Namibia v South Africa

開賽時間: 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Namibia (主隊)

預測 19.61%5.10公平賠率
EV +20.99%
優勢 +3.40%
Kelly +4.06%
成長率 +0.852%

假設最高賠率為 6.17

博彩公司預測分布
15.36%18.97%19.73%21.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.334.864.836.1723.09%20.56%20.70%16.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值

South Africa (客隊)

預測 80.39%1.24公平賠率
EV -3.53%
優勢 -2.94%
Kelly -17.66%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.20

博彩公司預測分布
78.58%81.03%80.27%84.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.27%85.47%83.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Namibia (主隊):19.61%;South Africa (客隊):80.39%。 對於「Namibia (主隊)」,該估計相當於5.10的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.17,對應+20.99%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV +20.99%E +3.40%K +4.06%G +0.852%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.64%EV -9.96%E -8.90%K -83.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +17.66%E +2.94%K +3.53%G +0.624%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.96%E -8.90%K -83.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:39
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 11:55
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:49
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:49
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:50
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.91%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.55%E -6.57%K -50.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -5.28%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:45
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:55
GTbets🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.34%E -3.64%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:55
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.34%E -3.64%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:49
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:55
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:50
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:49
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.55%E -6.57%K -50.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:54
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.53%E -2.94%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:49
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:50
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.94%E -5.08%K -34.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:54
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.09%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.14%E -4.36%K -28.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 11:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%0.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-04 11:55
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-04 11:55