Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Wuhan Three Towns

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 11:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 49.38%2.03fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.20%49.48%49.32%52.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.841.851.9460.24%54.42%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visit)

Prediction 28.33%3.53fair odd
EV +4.82%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.17%28.20%28.35%29.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.323.273.7034.48%30.11%30.53%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.29%4.49fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.51%22.31%22.33%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.114.204.4026.32%24.33%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 49.38%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 28.33%; Draw: 22.29%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -13.09%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +4.82%E +1.30%K +1.78%G +0.086%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:30
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV +1.70%E +0.474%K +0.657%G +0.011%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.23%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 11:27
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.67%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV +0.567%E +0.160%K +0.222%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -8.60%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -16.05%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -0.849%E -0.243%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.59%EV -18.03%E -10.86%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -2.27%E -0.657%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.59%EV -18.03%E -10.86%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -2.27%E -0.657%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.54%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.12%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -4.15%E -0.964%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 11:30
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.15%E -0.964%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.25%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 11:29
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.86%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.70%EV -5.67%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.44%EV -8.38%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 10:35
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.92%E -0.436%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 11:29
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:30
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.18%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 11:30
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -6.67%E -3.53%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.95%E -3.02%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.60%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.60%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 11:20
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 11:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.06%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.47%EV -9.14%E -4.97%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.60%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -10.83%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.65%EV -16.05%E -9.44%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.14%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.21%EV -15.29%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.5%2026-09-18 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.74%EV -14.57%E -8.42%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.07%EV -17.85%E -6.15%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.29%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.6%2026-09-18 11:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.00%0.0%2026-09-18 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-09-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-09-18 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-09-18 11:20
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-09-18 11:20