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Manchester Super Giants v Welsh Fire

2026-08-05 10:30 UTC — The Hundred - Women's

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester Super Giants (Local)

Prediction 57.11%1.75fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%57.12%57.14%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.6862.50%60.83%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Welsh Fire (Visit)

Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%42.88%42.86%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.202.202.2546.51%45.44%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Manchester Super Giants (Local): 57.11%; Welsh Fire (Visit): 42.89%. For Welsh Fire (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -3.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.06%E -2.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 17:27
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 17:34
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:29
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 18:14
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:39
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.21%E -2.36%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 17:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 17:30
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-08-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%10.1%2026-08-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%12.1%2026-08-03 19:30