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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Manchester Super Giants v Welsh Fire

开赛时间： 2026-08-05 10:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester Super Giants (主队)

预测 57.24%1.75公平赔率
EV -4.41%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -6.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.58%57.26%57.18%58.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.631.621.6762.50%61.50%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Welsh Fire (客队)

预测 42.76%2.34公平赔率
EV -3.79%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -3.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
41.67%42.74%42.82%43.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.232.252.2546.51%44.85%44.44%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Manchester Super Giants (主队)：57.24%；Welsh Fire (客队)：42.76%。 对于“Welsh Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.34。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.25，期望值为-3.79%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 10:25
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.55%E -3.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 10:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 10:25
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 10:25
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 10:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -4.22%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 10:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-08-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-08-05 10:25
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-08-05 10:20