The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

London Spirit v Southern Brave

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

London Spirit (Local)

Prediction 41.03%2.44fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.36%41.03%43.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.332.352.3846.95%42.99%42.55%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Brave (Visit)

Prediction 58.97%1.70fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.05%58.64%58.97%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.581.571.6764.10%63.15%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: London Spirit (Local): 41.03%; Southern Brave (Visit): 58.97%. For Southern Brave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:24
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:05
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:15
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.81%E -2.07%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.47%E -2.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:14
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:14
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -12.61%E -5.92%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -1.52%E -0.910%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-08-01 13:25
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-08-01 13:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.