默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

London Spirit v Southern Brave

开赛时间: 2026-08-01 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

London Spirit (主队)

预测 41.03%2.44公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.987%
Kelly -1.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.36%41.03%43.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.132.332.352.3846.95%42.99%42.55%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Southern Brave (客队)

预测 58.97%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.910%
Kelly -2.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.05%58.64%58.97%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.581.571.6764.10%63.15%63.69%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:London Spirit (主队):41.03%;Southern Brave (客队):58.97%。 对于“Southern Brave (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.70。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.67,期望值为-1.52%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:24
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.987%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.42%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:05
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:15
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.81%E -2.07%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.47%E -2.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:14
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:14
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -12.61%E -5.92%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -1.52%E -0.910%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 13:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-08-01 13:25
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-08-01 13:25