The School of Odds

Welsh Fire v MI London

2026-07-25 17:00 UTC — The Hundred

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Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Welsh Fire (Local)

Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.41%43.76%43.65%46.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.152.2549%47%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

MI London (Visit)

Prediction 56.35%1.77fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%56.24%56.35%58.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.591.701.691.7563%59%59%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.78%E -0.790%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.59%E -4.63%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 21:43
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.78%E -0.790%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.59%E -4.63%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 21:44
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -1.78%E -0.790%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -10.41%E -6.55%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 20:44
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 21:04
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 20:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 20:39
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 20:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 20:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 20:44
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:30
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:29
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:29
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:29
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:30
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.39%E -0.797%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 20:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 50.00%1.60I 62.50%NM 50.00%25.0%2026-07-22 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 50.00%1.60I 62.50%NM 50.00%25.0%2026-07-22 23:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 49.15%1.45I 68.97%NM 50.85%35.6%2026-07-22 23:49