语言:简体中文
Welsh Fire v MI London
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Welsh Fire (主队)
预测 38.79%2.58公平赔率
EV -1.09%
优势 -0.426%
Kelly -0.701%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.35%38.86%39.09%45.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.032.412.402.5549.26%41.47%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
MI London (客队)
预测 61.21%1.63公平赔率
EV +4.06%
优势 +2.39%
Kelly +5.80%
增长率 +0.235%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
54.42%61.14%60.91%62.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.551.7066.67%64.35%64.52%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Welsh Fire (主队)：38.79%；MI London (客队)：61.21%。 对于“MI London (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.63。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.70，对应+4.06%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -21.26%E -10.47%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV +4.06%E +2.39%K +5.80%G +0.235% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -9.23%E -3.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -1.45%E -0.901%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.29%E -2.08%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.68%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.31%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.31%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.74%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.90%E -2.88%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.74%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.09%E -0.426%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.96%E -4.58%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.09%E -0.426%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.96%E -4.58%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.96%E -4.58%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.96%E -4.58%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.46%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.96%E -4.58%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.35%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.57%E -5.01%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.18%E -5.46%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 16:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 16:55 |