The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Trent Rockets v Birmingham Phoenix

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trent Rockets (Local)

Prediction 63.06%1.59fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.28%62.87%63.19%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.501.5568.97%66.68%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Birmingham Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 36.94%2.71fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%37.13%36.81%38.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.572.552.7441.84%38.97%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trent Rockets (Local): 63.06%; Birmingham Phoenix (Visit): 36.94%. For Birmingham Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.21%E +0.442%K +0.696%G +0.008%3.2%2026-08-05 17:14
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.56%E -5.90%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.11%E -0.797%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.85%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.85%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 17:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.22%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.22%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.22%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.22%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:00
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:00
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.67%E -4.51%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -7.93%E -5.43%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:25
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:04
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 17:24
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.41%E -3.61%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.30%E -4.97%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -2.25%E -1.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -8.76%E -3.55%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.50%E -3.88%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -11.72%E -4.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-05 17:25
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-05 17:25
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-08-05 17:15

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