Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Trent Rockets v Birmingham Phoenix

2026-08-05 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Resultado del partido

33 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Trent Rockets (Local)

Predicción 55.11%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.22%55.16%59.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.48%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Birmingham Phoenix (Visitante)

Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV +5.50%
Ventaja +2.34%
Kelly +4.08%
Crecimiento +0.224%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%44.78%44.84%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.102.3550.00%46.45%47.62%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Trent Rockets (Local): 55.11%; Birmingham Phoenix (Visitante): 44.89%. Para Birmingham Phoenix (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.50%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -12.93%E -8.19%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%5.8%2026-08-02 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -12.93%E -8.19%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%5.8%2026-08-02 19:50
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -12.93%E -8.19%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%5.8%2026-08-02 19:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%6.2%2026-08-02 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%6.2%2026-08-02 19:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%6.2%2026-08-02 19:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +5.50%E +2.34%K +4.08%G +0.224%6.2%2026-08-02 19:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.560%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:55
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.23%E -0.560%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 20:09
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 20:29
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:44
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.08%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.82%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 16:44
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -4.82%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:45
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:44
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 16:45
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 16:45
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 16:44
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:49
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:45
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 16:44
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 16:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 16:45
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.87%E -4.07%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:15
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:35
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-08-02 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%8.0%2026-08-02 16:50
Arbitraje (35 combinaciones) +0.96%PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%) / Grosvenor 2.35 (43.0%)Ver las 35 combinaciones
Trent Rockets (Local)Birmingham Phoenix (Visitante)Margen
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)Virgin Bet 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)LiveScore Bet 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)Unibet 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)Grosvenor 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)Unibet (SE) 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)Casumo 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
PointsBet (AU) 1.77 (57.0%)TABtouch 2.35 (43.0%)+0.959%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)Virgin Bet 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)LiveScore Bet 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)Unibet 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)Grosvenor 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)Unibet (SE) 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)Casumo 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betr (AU) 1.76 (57.2%)TABtouch 2.35 (42.8%)+0.633%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)Virgin Bet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)LiveScore Bet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)Grosvenor 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet (SE) 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)Casumo 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Betsson 1.75 (57.3%)TABtouch 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)Virgin Bet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)LiveScore Bet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)Grosvenor 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet (SE) 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)Casumo 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
NordicBet 1.75 (57.3%)TABtouch 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)Virgin Bet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)LiveScore Bet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)Grosvenor 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)Unibet (SE) 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)Casumo 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%
Bet Right 1.75 (57.3%)TABtouch 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%