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Sunrisers Leeds v London Spirit
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sunrisers Leeds (Local)
Prediction 54.68%1.83fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.78%54.68%56.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.721.7760.61%58.35%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
London Spirit (Visit)
Prediction 45.32%2.21fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.86%45.22%45.32%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.102.102.1549.26%47.64%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunrisers Leeds (Local): 54.68%; London Spirit (Visit): 45.32%. For London Spirit (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -2.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.37%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.19%E -2.99%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.00%E -3.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.78%E -5.93%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -4.37%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
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