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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sunrisers Leeds v London Spirit

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunrisers Leeds (主队)

预测 54.68%1.83公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -4.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
53.66%54.78%54.68%56.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.711.721.7760.61%58.35%58.14%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

London Spirit (客队)

预测 45.32%2.21公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
43.86%45.22%45.32%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.032.102.102.1549.26%47.64%47.62%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sunrisers Leeds (主队)：54.68%；London Spirit (客队)：45.32%。 对于“London Spirit (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.21。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.15，期望值为-2.56%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.22%E -1.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:24
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.31%E -2.46%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.37%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 17:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:24
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:14
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:24
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 15:34
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 17:24
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 05:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.19%E -2.99%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 17:25
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.00%E -3.94%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 07:35
Unibet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 07:40
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:39
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.14%E -4.84%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.56%E -1.19%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 16:49
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.09%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.78%E -5.93%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -4.37%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-08-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-04 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-08-04 17:25
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-08-04 17:25