Southern Brave v Welsh Fire

2026-07-22 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Southern Brave (Local)

Prediction 53.46%1.87fair odd

EV -3.78%

Edge -2.10%

Kelly -4.72%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.63%53.46%52.63%55.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.671.791.801.8060%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Welsh Fire (Visit)

Prediction 46.54%2.15fair odd

EV -4.59%

Edge -2.24%

Kelly -4.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.89%46.54%47.37%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.012.002.0550%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Neds	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.87%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.87%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 23:00
Betsson	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 23:04
PointsBet (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 23:04
NordicBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 23:04
Grosvenor	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 02:05
Casumo	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 02:10
LiveScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 02:09
Virgin Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 02:09
TABtouch	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 02:10
Unibet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-18 02:15
Betr (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.85%E -2.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-17 23:10
SportsBet	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.45%E -3.69%K -8.60%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.91%E -3.46%K -6.91%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-17 22:59
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.73%E -6.42%K -16.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-17 23:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.62I 61.73%NM 49.69%	1.60I 62.50%NM 50.31%	24.2%	2026-07-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 49.69%	1.60I 62.50%NM 50.31%	24.2%	2026-07-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 49.15%	1.45I 68.97%NM 50.85%	35.6%	2026-07-17 22:59