语言:简体中文
Southern Brave v Welsh Fire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Southern Brave (主队)
预测 48.12%2.08公平赔率
EV +1.05%
优势 +0.499%
Kelly +0.953%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
45.03%48.20%48.07%52.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.742.022.052.1057.47%49.55%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
Welsh Fire (客队)
预测 51.88%1.93公平赔率
EV +1.17%
优势 +0.600%
Kelly +1.23%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
47.15%51.80%51.93%54.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.771.751.9558.82%56.35%57.14%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Southern Brave (主队)：48.12%；Welsh Fire (客队)：51.88%。 对于“Welsh Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.93。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.95，对应+1.17%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -11.94%E -6.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV +1.17%E +0.600%K +1.23%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -16.27%E -9.35%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV +1.17%E +0.600%K +1.23%G +0.014% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.98%E -5.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.36%E -0.662%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.69%E -4.94%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.36%E -0.662%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -3.28%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.76%E -6.26%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -0.877%E -0.426%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -11.80%E -6.94%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |