Language:English
Southern Brave v MI London
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southern Brave (Local)
Prediction 42.00%2.38fair odd
EV -0.031%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%42.35%42.04%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.252.252.3851.28%44.43%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
MI London (Visit)
Prediction 58.00%1.72fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +3.45%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%57.65%57.96%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.7763.69%61.47%61.73%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Brave (Local): 42.00%; MI London (Visit): 58.00%. For MI London (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -18.09%E -9.28%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV +2.65%E +1.50%K +3.45%G +0.091% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -8.01%E -3.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -1.99%E -1.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.95%E -5.17%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.73%E -2.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.89%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.89%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.89%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.47%E -3.35%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.91%E -2.64%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.85%E -4.08%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.21%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -4.65%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.37%E -5.30%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.031%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 17:25 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.