The School of Odds

Southern Brave v MI London

2026-07-27 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Southern Brave (Local)

Prediction 45.25%2.21fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.31%45.18%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.062.1250.00%48.27%48.54%47.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

MI London (Visit)

Prediction 54.75%1.83fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.69%54.82%55.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.731.731.7759.17%57.78%57.80%56.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 22:25
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.18%E -2.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:30
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.18%E -2.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:55
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 20:54
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.37%E -3.72%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.08%E -1.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.08%E -1.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:29
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 20:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 20:29
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 22:59
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.51%E -4.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 50.00%1.17I 85.47%NM 50.00%70.9%2026-07-25 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 50.00%1.17I 85.47%NM 50.00%70.9%2026-07-25 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 50.00%1.17I 85.47%NM 50.00%70.9%2026-07-25 20:30