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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Southern Brave v MI London

开赛时间： 2026-07-27 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southern Brave (主队)

预测 42.00%2.38公平赔率
EV -0.031%
优势 -0.013%
Kelly -0.022%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%42.35%42.04%47.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.252.252.3851.28%44.43%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

MI London (客队)

预测 58.00%1.72公平赔率
EV +2.65%
优势 +1.50%
Kelly +3.45%
增长率 +0.091%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
52.42%57.65%57.96%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.631.621.7763.69%61.47%61.73%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Southern Brave (主队)：42.00%；MI London (客队)：58.00%。 对于“MI London (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.72。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.77，对应+2.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -18.09%E -9.28%K -19.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV +2.65%E +1.50%K +3.45%G +0.091%7.8%2026-07-27 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -8.01%E -3.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -1.99%E -1.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 17:10
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.95%E -5.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.73%E -2.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 17:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:15
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:25
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.31%E -2.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.89%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.89%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.89%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.47%E -3.35%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:14
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.91%E -2.64%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.05%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.39%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.49%E -2.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.85%E -4.08%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.63%E -4.12%K -10.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.59%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.21%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 17:19
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -4.65%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.37%E -5.30%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.031%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.95%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-27 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-07-27 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-27 17:25
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-07-27 17:25