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London Spirit v Southern Brave
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
London Spirit (Local)
Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%47.86%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.982.002.0253.48%50.61%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Brave (Visit)
Prediction 52.14%1.92fair odd
EV -0.405%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.14%52.22%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.9157.47%55.34%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: London Spirit (Local): 47.86%; Southern Brave (Visit): 52.14%. For Southern Brave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.405%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:53 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.77%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -6.20%E -3.16%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.18%E -4.04%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.405%E -0.212%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 16:52 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.51%E -5.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
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