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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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London Spirit v Southern Brave

开赛时间： 2026-08-01 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

London Spirit (主队)

预测 47.86%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.33%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -3.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
46.52%47.86%47.78%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.982.002.0253.48%50.61%50.00%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Southern Brave (客队)

预测 52.14%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.405%
优势 -0.212%
Kelly -0.445%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.14%52.22%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.811.801.9157.47%55.34%55.56%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：London Spirit (主队)：47.86%；Southern Brave (客队)：52.14%。 对于“Southern Brave (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.91，期望值为-0.405%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:53
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:53
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 16:54
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:39
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.77%E -2.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 16:54
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -6.20%E -3.16%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 16:34
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:54
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.18%E -4.04%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 16:54
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.405%E -0.212%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 16:52
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.51%E -5.62%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 16:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-08-01 16:55
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-08-01 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-08-01 16:55