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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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London Spirit v Birmingham Phoenix

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 17:04 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

London Spirit (主队)

预测 62.66%1.60公平赔率
EV -1.62%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -2.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.25%62.57%62.53%64.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.38%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Birmingham Phoenix (客队)

预测 37.34%2.68公平赔率
EV +0.819%
优势 +0.303%
Kelly +0.482%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.25%37.43%37.47%39.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.552.502.7042.02%39.28%40.00%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：London Spirit (主队)：62.66%；Birmingham Phoenix (客队)：37.34%。 对于“Birmingham Phoenix (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.68。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.70，对应+0.819%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -5.38%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.819%E +0.303%K +0.482%G +0.004%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.819%E +0.303%K +0.482%G +0.004%5.1%2026-08-09 16:50
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:00
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.17%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:55
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:55
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.78%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:54
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:53
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.50%E -2.28%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.02%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:55
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.14%E -3.31%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.38%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.89%E -3.64%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.13%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 16:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-09 17:00
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-09 17:00