Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

London Spirit v Birmingham Phoenix

Inizio: 2026-08-09 17:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

63%

37%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

London Spirit (Casa)

Previsione 62.66%1.60quota equa

EV -1.62%

Vantaggio -1.03%

Kelly -2.85%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

60.25%62.57%62.53%64.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.38%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Birmingham Phoenix (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.34%2.68quota equa

EV +0.819%

Vantaggio +0.303%

Kelly +0.482%

Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

35.25%37.43%37.47%39.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.382.552.502.7042.02%39.28%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: London Spirit (Casa): 62.66%; Birmingham Phoenix (Trasferta): 37.34%. Per Birmingham Phoenix (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.68. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.819%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -5.38%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.819%E +0.303%K +0.482%G +0.004%	3.3%	2026-08-09 17:00
Bet Right🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.819%E +0.303%K +0.482%G +0.004%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:50
Unibet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
Grosvenor🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
Casumo🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
TABtouch🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.79%E -0.682%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 17:00
betfred_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.17%E -0.828%K -1.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-09 16:55
NordicBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:55
Betsson🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:55
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:55
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.78%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-09 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-09 16:54
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-09 16:55
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:54
Sky Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:55
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 16:54
TAB🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-09 16:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-09 16:45
Bet Victor🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-09 16:53
betano_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-09 16:54
Pinnacle🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.50%E -2.28%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.02%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 16:55
BetUS🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.14%E -3.31%K -5.58%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-09 16:55
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-09 16:59
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.38%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-09 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.55%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.89%E -3.64%K -6.17%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-09 16:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.13%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 16:44

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%	0.2%	2026-08-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-08-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%	0.6%	2026-08-09 16:55
Matchbook◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%	0.6%	2026-08-09 17:00
Smarkets◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%	1.3%	2026-08-09 17:00