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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Birmingham Phoenix v MI London

开赛时间： 2026-08-12 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Birmingham Phoenix (主队)

预测 37.33%2.68公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.404%
Kelly -0.649%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.84%37.35%37.42%38.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.90%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

MI London (客队)

预测 62.67%1.60公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -4.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
61.25%62.65%62.58%64.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.461.521.521.5668.49%65.69%65.57%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Birmingham Phoenix (主队)：37.33%；MI London (客队)：62.67%。 对于“Birmingham Phoenix (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.68。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.65，期望值为-1.07%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.07%E -0.404%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.19%E -0.836%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:00
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.06%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.24%E -1.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:14
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -5.92%E -2.35%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -8.50%E -5.83%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 17:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:04
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:25
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:09
BetUS🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.79%E -3.15%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 17:04
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.37%E -3.56%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 17:19
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.40%E -4.33%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 17:19
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.40%E -4.33%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 17:13
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-08-12 17:25
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-12 17:25