Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Birmingham Phoenix v MI London

Inizio: 2026-08-12 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Birmingham Phoenix (Casa)

Previsione 37.33%2.68quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.404%
Kelly -0.649%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.84%37.35%37.42%38.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.90%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

MI London (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.67%1.60quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -4.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.25%62.65%62.58%64.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.461.521.521.5668.49%65.69%65.57%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Birmingham Phoenix (Casa): 37.33%; MI London (Trasferta): 62.67%. Per Birmingham Phoenix (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.68. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.65, con un valore atteso del -1.07%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.07%E -0.404%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.19%E -0.836%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:00
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.06%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.24%E -1.43%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:14
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -5.92%E -2.35%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -8.50%E -5.83%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 17:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:04
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:25
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:09
BetUS🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.79%E -3.15%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 17:04
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.37%E -3.56%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.54%E -3.48%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 17:19
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.40%E -4.33%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 17:19
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.40%E -4.33%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 17:13
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-08-12 17:25
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-12 17:25