Language:English
Sri Lanka v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sri Lanka (Local)
Prediction 17.71%5.65fair odd
EV +19.52%
Edge +2.89%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.662%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.73%17.99%17.50%23.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.955.425.506.7525.32%18.46%18.18%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 57.53%1.74fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.45%57.55%57.40%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.601.6963.69%62.56%62.50%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV +11.45%
Edge +2.54%
Kelly +3.27%
Growth +0.375%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%24.46%25.11%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.873.704.5029.85%25.86%27.03%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sri Lanka (Local): 17.71%; India (Visit): 57.53%; Draw: 24.77%. For Sri Lanka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.65. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV +19.52%E +2.89%K +3.39%G +0.662% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.32%E -3.80%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.32%E -3.80%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 04:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 04:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV +10.66%E +1.71%K +2.03%G +0.217% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -17.03%E -5.08%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV +10.66%E +1.71%K +2.03%G +0.217% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -17.03%E -5.08%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +6.24%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.078% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 04:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +6.24%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.078% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 04:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +1.81%E +0.315%K +0.381%G +0.007% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -9.11%E -5.76%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.43%EV -1.73%E -0.312%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.48%EV -11.33%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 04:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -9.11%E -5.76%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 04:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -3.93%E -2.35%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.12%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 04:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.60%EV -14.48%E -3.00%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.08%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.03%EV +1.79%E +0.436%K +0.576%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -16.78%E -3.57%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.85%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV +6.50%E +1.51%K +1.97%G +0.128% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -30.06%E -7.61%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.45%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +11.45%E +2.54%K +3.27%G +0.375% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 03:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 04:25 |