Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sri Lanka v India

Inizio: 2026-08-15 04:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sri Lanka (Casa)

Previsione 17.71%5.65quota equa
EV +19.52%
Vantaggio +2.89%
Kelly +3.39%
Crescita +0.662%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.73%17.99%17.50%23.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.955.425.506.7525.32%18.46%18.18%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

India (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.53%1.74quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -4.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.45%57.55%57.40%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.601.601.6963.69%62.56%62.50%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.77%4.04quota equa
EV +11.45%
Vantaggio +2.54%
Kelly +3.27%
Crescita +0.375%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.82%24.46%25.11%27.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.873.704.5029.85%25.86%27.03%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sri Lanka (Casa): 17.71%; India (Trasferta): 57.53%; Pareggio: 24.77%. Per Sri Lanka (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.65. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +19.52%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV +19.52%E +2.89%K +3.39%G +0.662%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 04:24
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.32%E -3.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 04:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.32%E -3.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 04:24
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 04:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +15.09%E +2.32%K +2.74%G +0.414%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 04:14
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV +10.66%E +1.71%K +2.03%G +0.217%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -17.03%E -5.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 04:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV +10.66%E +1.71%K +2.03%G +0.217%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -17.03%E -5.08%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 04:24
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +6.24%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.078%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 04:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +6.24%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.078%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 04:14
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +1.81%E +0.315%K +0.381%G +0.007%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -9.11%E -5.76%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 04:10
Marathon Bet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 16.43%EV -1.73%E -0.312%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.48%EV -11.33%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 04:19
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -9.11%E -5.76%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 04:10
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 04:24
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -2.62%E -0.476%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 04:23
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.47%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -3.93%E -2.35%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.12%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 04:04
Pinnacle🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.60%EV -14.48%E -3.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -5.08%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.03%EV +1.79%E +0.436%K +0.576%G +0.010%5.6%2026-08-15 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:50
BetRivers🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:50
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.90%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV +7.24%E +1.67%K +2.17%G +0.157%6.6%2026-08-14 18:49
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -16.78%E -3.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.85%EV -9.68%E -6.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV +6.50%E +1.51%K +1.97%G +0.128%8.2%2026-08-14 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -30.06%E -7.61%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.45%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +11.45%E +2.54%K +3.27%G +0.375%6.7%2026-08-15 03:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-08-15 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-08-15 04:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-15 04:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-15 04:25