Language:English
Bangladesh v Pakistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 17.02%5.88fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.351%
Kelly +0.421%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.03%16.82%16.92%18.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.575.506.0020.00%17.96%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pakistan (Visit)
Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV +57.92%
Edge +9.65%
Kelly +11.58%
Growth +6.71%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.03%24.18%26.34%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.643.506.0030.77%27.48%28.57%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 56.66%1.76fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.12%59.00%56.74%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.621.631.7177.52%61.62%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 17.02%; Pakistan (Visit): 26.32%; Draw: 56.66%. For Pakistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +57.92%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +57.92%E +9.65%K +11.58%G +6.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -26.91%E -20.86%K -92.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV +38.18%E +7.27%K +8.98%G +3.43% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -20.11%E -14.26%K -49.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 03:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -8.10%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -8.10%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -8.10%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.37%EV -7.42%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 03:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.12%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -13.21%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -6.51%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -1.30%E -0.224%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.72%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.50% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.85% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 03:55 |