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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Bangladesh v Pakistan

开赛时间： 2026-05-16 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bangladesh (主队)

预测 17.02%5.88公平赔率
EV +2.11%
优势 +0.351%
Kelly +0.421%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.03%16.82%16.92%18.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.575.506.0020.00%17.96%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pakistan (客队)

预测 26.32%3.80公平赔率
EV +57.92%
优势 +9.65%
Kelly +11.58%
增长率 +6.71%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.03%24.18%26.34%27.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.643.506.0030.77%27.48%28.57%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 56.66%1.76公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -4.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
54.12%59.00%56.74%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.621.631.7177.52%61.62%61.35%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bangladesh (主队)：17.02%；Pakistan (客队)：26.32%；平局：56.66%。 对于“Pakistan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+57.92%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +57.92%E +9.65%K +11.58%G +6.71%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -26.91%E -20.86%K -92.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV +38.18%E +7.27%K +8.98%G +3.43%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -20.11%E -14.26%K -49.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 03:30
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 03:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 03:55
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 03:55
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 03:55
888sport🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -8.10%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 03:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -8.10%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 03:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -8.10%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 03:55
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -7.64%E -4.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.40%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 03:55
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 03:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 03:55
Pinnacle🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.37%EV -7.42%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 03:45
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +2.11%E +0.351%K +0.421%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 03:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.12%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 03:55
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 03:55
NordicBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -13.21%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -6.51%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 03:55
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -1.30%E -0.224%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.72%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 03:55
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.91%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 03:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.50%1.7%2026-05-16 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33%2.0%2026-05-16 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%3.3%2026-05-16 03:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.85%3.6%2026-05-16 03:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-05-16 03:55