The School of Odds
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Afghanistan v Zimbabwe

2026-11-05 05:00 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Afghanistan (Local)

Prediction 55.17%1.81fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.94%55.39%54.85%58.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.66%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV +0.981%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.516%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.70%34.56%35.28%36.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.702.9038.46%36.43%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.01%9.99fair odd
EV +0.128%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.32%10.05%9.87%11.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.508.948.5010.0011.76%11.19%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Afghanistan (Local): 55.17%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 34.82%; Draw: 10.01%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +0.981%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV +0.285%E +0.099%K +0.151%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -9.89%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-04 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -0.760%E -0.267%K -0.411%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.27%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -9.89%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.44%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.07%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-04 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.128%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 11:13
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.128%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 09:09
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +0.128%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-04 12:04
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63%2.4%2026-11-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58%2.8%2026-11-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58%2.8%2026-11-04 13:25
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.57%2.9%2026-11-04 13:25