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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Afghanistan v Zimbabwe

2026-11-05 05:00 UTC — Test Matches

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Afghanistan (主队)

预测 55.17%1.81公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -4.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.94%55.39%54.85%58.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.681.681.7563.69%59.51%59.52%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Zimbabwe (客队)

预测 34.82%2.87公平赔率
EV +0.981%
优势 +0.338%
Kelly +0.516%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.70%34.56%35.28%36.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.742.672.9038.46%36.56%37.52%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.01%9.99公平赔率
EV +0.128%
优势 +0.013%
Kelly +0.014%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.32%10.05%9.87%11.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.508.948.5010.0011.76%11.18%11.76%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Afghanistan (主队)：55.17%；Zimbabwe (客队)：34.82%；平局：10.01%。 对于“Zimbabwe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.87。 有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.90，由此产生+0.981%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.72%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV +0.981%E +0.338%K +0.516%G +0.005%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 09:05
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV +0.285%E +0.099%K +0.151%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -9.89%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-04 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -0.760%E -0.267%K -0.411%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.27%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -9.89%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.44%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.07%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-04 11:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.98%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.89%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.98%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -9.89%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.128%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 11:13
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.128%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.88%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 09:09
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +0.128%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-04 12:04
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.94%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -14.89%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 09:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%2.0%2026-11-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%2.0%2026-11-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%2.0%2026-11-04 13:40
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.57%2.9%2026-11-04 13:45