預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Zimbabwe v South Africa

開賽時間: 2026-03-01 09:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Zimbabwe (主隊)

預測 11.02%9.07公平賠率
EV +12.01%
優勢 +1.18%
Kelly +1.31%
成長率 +0.158%

假設最高賠率為 10.16

博彩公司預測分布
9.37%11.08%11.18%12.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.008.478.5010.1614.29%11.80%11.76%9.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值

South Africa (客隊)

預測 88.98%1.12公平賠率
EV -3.02%
優勢 -2.77%
Kelly -33.52%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.09

博彩公司預測分布
87.06%88.92%88.82%90.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.041.061.071.0996.15%94.00%93.46%91.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Zimbabwe (主隊):11.02%;South Africa (客隊):88.98%。 對於「Zimbabwe (主隊)」,該估計相當於9.07的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為10.16,對應+12.01%的正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯10.16I 9.84%NM 9.37%EV +12.01%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.158%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.63%EV -6.58%E -6.26%K -131.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 09:09
GTbets🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV +7.49%E +0.768%K +0.856%G +0.064%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 09:45
DraftKings🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +4.74%E +0.499%K +0.557%G +0.026%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.58%E -6.26%K -131.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 09:43
FanDuel🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +3.63%E +0.387%K +0.433%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 09:14
BoyleSports🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 09:14
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 09:14
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 09:14
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.53%E -0.404%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 09:14
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:59
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:59
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:54
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:59
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 08:59
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 09:14
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 09:14
Neds🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 09:14
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -10.70%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 09:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 09:24
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 09:24
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.02%E -2.77%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 09:24
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 09:04
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 09:14
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -22.83%E -3.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 09:24
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -22.83%E -3.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 09:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-03-01 09:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-03-01 09:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-03-01 09:24
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-03-01 09:24
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%2.6%2026-03-01 09:24

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (3)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59%12.2%2026-03-01 09:14
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59%12.2%2026-03-01 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59%12.2%2026-03-01 09:14