默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zimbabwe v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-03-01 09:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

11%

89%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zimbabwe (主队)

预测 11.02%9.07公平赔率

EV +12.01%

优势 +1.18%

Kelly +1.31%

增长率 +0.158%

假设最高赔率为 10.16

博彩公司预测分布

9.37%11.08%11.18%12.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

7.008.478.5010.1614.29%11.80%11.76%9.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

South Africa (客队)

预测 88.98%1.12公平赔率

EV -3.02%

优势 -2.77%

Kelly -33.52%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.09

博彩公司预测分布

87.06%88.92%88.82%90.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.041.061.071.0996.15%94.00%93.46%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Zimbabwe (主队)：11.02%；South Africa (客队)：88.98%。对于“Zimbabwe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.07。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.16，对应+12.01%的正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	10.16I 9.84%NM 9.37%EV +12.01%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.158%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.63%EV -6.58%E -6.26%K -131.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-01 09:09
GTbets🎯	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV +7.49%E +0.768%K +0.856%G +0.064%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-27 09:45
DraftKings🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +4.74%E +0.499%K +0.557%G +0.026%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.58%E -6.26%K -131.52%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-27 09:43
FanDuel🎯	9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +3.63%E +0.387%K +0.433%G +0.016%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-01 09:14
BoyleSports🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-01 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-01 09:14
Coral🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-01 09:14
Paddy Power🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-01 09:14
Bovada🎯	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.53%E -0.404%K -0.456%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-01 09:14
Unibet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:59
LeoVegas🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:59
Grosvenor🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:54
TABtouch🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:59
Casumo🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 08:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 09:14
SportsBet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-01 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-01 09:14
Neds🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-01 09:14
Marathon Bet🎯	8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -10.70%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-03-01 09:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.84%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-01 09:24
TAB🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-01 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-01 09:24
Bet Right🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.02%E -2.77%K -33.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-01 09:24
William Hill🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-01 09:04
Betway🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-01 09:14
Betsson🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -22.83%E -3.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-03-01 09:24
NordicBet🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -22.83%E -3.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-03-01 09:24

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	0.9%	2026-03-01 09:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	0.9%	2026-03-01 09:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	0.9%	2026-03-01 09:24
Matchbook◎	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	0.9%	2026-03-01 09:24
Smarkets◎	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%	1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%	2.6%	2026-03-01 09:24

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%	1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68%	56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59%	12.2%	2026-03-01 09:14
888sport (SE)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%	1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68%	56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59%	12.2%	2026-03-01 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%	1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68%	56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59%	12.2%	2026-03-01 09:14