Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.16
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.09
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Zimbabwe (Casa): 11.02%; South Africa (Trasferta): 88.98%. Per Zimbabwe (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.07. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 10.16, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.01%.
3 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.16I 9.84%NM 9.37%EV +12.01%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.158% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.63%EV -6.58%E -6.26%K -131.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 09:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV +7.49%E +0.768%K +0.856%G +0.064% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +4.74%E +0.499%K +0.557%G +0.026% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.58%E -6.26%K -131.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 09:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +3.63%E +0.387%K +0.433%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.776%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.53%E -0.404%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.29%E -0.740%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -10.70%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 09:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.80%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.02%E -2.77%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 09:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.31%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.69%E -5.36%K -94.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -22.83%E -3.26%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -22.83%E -3.26%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.47%E -7.18%K -186.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 2.6% | 2026-03-01 09:24 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.68% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.59% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 09:14 |