默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England v New Zealand

开赛时间： 2026-02-27 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England (主队)

预测 53.97%1.85公平赔率

EV -1.23%

优势 -0.675%

Kelly -1.49%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

52.49%53.85%54.09%54.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.681.771.761.8359.52%56.56%56.82%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

New Zealand (客队)

预测 46.03%2.17公平赔率

EV -3.34%

优势 -1.59%

Kelly -3.03%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

45.03%46.15%45.91%47.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.12%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：53.97%；New Zealand (客队)：46.03%。对于“England (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.85。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.83，期望值为-1.23%，未产生正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.23%E -0.675%K -1.49%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.56%E -3.23%K -6.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-27 13:15
Bet Right🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -1.77%E -0.975%K -2.16%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-27 13:19
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:24
Grosvenor🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:24
TABtouch🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:24
LeoVegas🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:25
Casumo🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 11:25
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-27 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-27 13:20
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-27 12:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-27 13:10
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-27 13:18
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 13:20
PlayUp🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-27 13:14
TAB🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-27 13:14
Neds🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-27 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-27 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.78%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-27 13:21
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 13:14
GTbets🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-27 13:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-27 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-27 13:19
SportsBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-27 13:19
FanDuel🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-27 13:20
Betway🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-27 13:19
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.33%E -5.55%K -13.72%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-02-27 13:14
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.33%E -5.55%K -13.72%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-02-27 13:14

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%	0.3%	2026-02-27 13:25
Matchbook◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%	0.3%	2026-02-27 13:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%	0.4%	2026-02-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%	0.4%	2026-02-27 13:19
Smarkets◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%	2.2%	2026-02-27 13:24

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.31%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.3%	2026-02-27 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.31%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.3%	2026-02-27 13:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.31%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.3%	2026-02-27 13:15