La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
England v New Zealand
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
England (Casa)
Previsione 53.97%1.85quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.675%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.49%53.85%54.09%54.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.771.761.8359.52%56.56%56.82%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
New Zealand (Trasferta)
Previsione 46.03%2.17quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.03%46.15%45.91%47.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.12%48.78%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
3 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.23%E -0.675%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.56%E -3.23%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 13:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -1.77%E -0.975%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 13:19 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:25 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:25 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 13:20 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 12:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 13:10 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.47%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 13:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 13:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -5.55%E -3.17%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.78%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 13:21 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.09%E -3.50%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.63%E -3.83%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 13:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.34%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 13:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.17%E -4.17%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.26%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.85%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 13:19 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.33%E -5.55%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.33%E -5.55%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 13:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 13:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-02-27 13:24 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (3)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.31% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.31% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.31% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 13:15 |