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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Yorkshire v Somerset

开赛时间： 2026-07-15 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yorkshire (主队)

预测 43.66%2.29公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.789%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.11%43.72%43.59%46.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.132.152.2549.50%46.98%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Somerset (客队)

预测 56.34%1.77公平赔率
EV +0.857%
优势 +0.479%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布
53.02%56.28%56.41%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.701.671.7962.50%58.67%59.88%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yorkshire (主队)：43.66%；Somerset (客队)：56.34%。 对于“Somerset (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.79，对应+0.857%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 10:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.01%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -10.07%E -4.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 15:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.45%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.83%E -2.22%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.78%E -0.789%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 15:19
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.78%E -0.789%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 15:19
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:25
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-15 15:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.85%E -6.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 15:17
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-15 15:25
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-15 15:24
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-07-15 15:25