La scuola delle quote

Yorkshire v Somerset

Inizio: 2026-07-15 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yorkshire (Casa)

Previsione 43.66%2.29quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.789%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.11%43.72%43.59%46.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.132.152.2549.50%46.98%46.51%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Somerset (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.34%1.77quota equa
EV +0.857%
Vantaggio +0.479%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.02%56.28%56.41%57.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.701.671.7962.50%58.67%59.88%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.857%E +0.479%K +1.09%G +0.009%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 10:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.52%E -1.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:24
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 15:24
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.01%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 13:35
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -10.07%E -4.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 15:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:25
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.45%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.90%E -3.54%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.83%E -2.22%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:25
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.78%E -0.789%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 15:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.78%E -0.789%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 15:19
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 15:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-15 15:18
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.85%E -6.16%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 15:17
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-15 15:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-15 15:24
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-07-15 15:25