Language:English
Yorkshire v Nottinghamshire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yorkshire (Local)
Prediction 52.00%1.92fair odd
EV +9.19%
Edge +4.38%
Kelly +8.36%
Growth +0.768%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%51.27%52.63%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.782.1057.14%55.37%56.18%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nottinghamshire (Visit)
Prediction 48.00%2.08fair odd
EV -0.152%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%48.73%47.37%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.982.002.0857.80%50.61%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.19%E +4.38%K +8.36%G +0.768% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -16.95%E -9.80%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 01:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.99%E +2.00%K +3.99%G +0.159% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.95%E -9.80%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 08:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV +1.91%E +0.976%K +1.99%G +0.038% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -14.07%E -7.86%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.687%E -0.360%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.15%E -6.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.83%E -4.08%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.59%E -0.777%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.59%E -0.777%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.59%E -0.777%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.152%E -0.073%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 14:14 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 14:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |