La scuola delle quote

Yorkshire v Nottinghamshire

Inizio: 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yorkshire (Casa)

Previsione 52.00%1.92quota equa
EV +9.19%
Vantaggio +4.38%
Kelly +8.36%
Crescita +0.768%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%51.27%52.63%54.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.811.782.1057.14%55.37%56.18%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nottinghamshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.00%2.08quota equa
EV -0.152%
Vantaggio -0.073%
Kelly -0.141%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.69%48.73%47.37%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.982.002.0857.80%50.61%50.00%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.19%E +4.38%K +8.36%G +0.768%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -16.95%E -9.80%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 01:25
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.99%E +2.00%K +3.99%G +0.159%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.95%E -9.80%K -23.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 08:25
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV +1.91%E +0.976%K +1.99%G +0.038%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -14.07%E -7.86%K -17.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.687%E -0.360%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.15%E -6.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 13:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:10
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:04
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:14
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.83%E -4.08%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 14:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.59%E -0.777%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 14:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.59%E -0.777%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:19
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:19
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:20
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:20
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:20
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:20
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.59%E -0.777%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.152%E -0.073%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 14:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:14
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:09
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:09
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:13
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-07-12 14:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%4.0%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%4.1%2026-07-12 14:25