The School of Odds

Yorkshire v Leicestershire

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Yorkshire (Local)

Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -8.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.18%63.89%67.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.391.471.501.5072%68%67%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Leicestershire (Visit)

Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.141%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.25%35.82%36.11%37.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.602.9241%38%38%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -11.08%E -7.97%K -28.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV +5.21%E +1.78%K +2.71%G +0.141%6.2%2026-07-05 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.41%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062%6.3%2026-07-05 13:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.41%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062%6.3%2026-07-05 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +2.69%E +0.943%K +1.45%G +0.039%5.5%2026-07-05 13:15
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.886%E +0.316%K +0.492%G +0.004%6.1%2026-07-05 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.886%E +0.316%K +0.492%G +0.004%6.1%2026-07-05 13:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:15
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:15
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:15
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 13:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:15
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:19
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:19
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 13:14
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 13:14
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:34
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:34
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 13:14
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-05 13:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-07-05 13:20