Language:English
Yorkshire v Leicestershire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yorkshire (Local)
Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -8.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.18%63.89%67.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.471.501.5071.94%68.23%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leicestershire (Visit)
Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.141%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.25%35.82%36.11%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.602.9240.82%37.97%38.46%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yorkshire (Local): 63.97%; Leicestershire (Visit): 36.03%. For Leicestershire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -11.08%E -7.97%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV +5.21%E +1.78%K +2.71%G +0.141% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.41%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.41%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +2.69%E +0.943%K +1.45%G +0.039% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.886%E +0.316%K +0.492%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.886%E +0.316%K +0.492%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 13:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 13:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 13:20 |
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