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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Yorkshire v Leicestershire

开赛时间： 2026-07-05 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yorkshire (主队)

预测 63.97%1.56公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -2.70%
Kelly -8.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.03%64.18%63.89%67.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.471.501.5071.94%68.23%66.67%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Leicestershire (客队)

预测 36.03%2.78公平赔率
EV +5.21%
优势 +1.78%
Kelly +2.71%
增长率 +0.141%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.25%35.82%36.11%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.632.602.9240.82%37.97%38.46%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yorkshire (主队)：63.97%；Leicestershire (客队)：36.03%。 对于“Leicestershire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.92，对应+5.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -11.08%E -7.97%K -28.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV +5.21%E +1.78%K +2.71%G +0.141%6.2%2026-07-05 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.41%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062%6.3%2026-07-05 13:15
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.41%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062%6.3%2026-07-05 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +2.69%E +0.943%K +1.45%G +0.039%5.5%2026-07-05 13:15
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.886%E +0.316%K +0.492%G +0.004%6.1%2026-07-05 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.886%E +0.316%K +0.492%G +0.004%6.1%2026-07-05 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.915%E -0.333%K -0.523%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 13:25
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:19
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:19
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 13:14
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:34
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 13:14
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 22:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-05 13:20
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-07-05 13:20