Somerset v Worcestershire

2026-07-12 17:35 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Somerset (Local)

Prediction 55.85%1.79fair odd

EV -3.38%

Edge -1.96%

Kelly -4.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.83%56.17%55.84%58.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.601.681.701.7363%60%59%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Worcestershire (Visit)

Prediction 44.15%2.26fair odd

EV -0.658%

Edge -0.292%

Kelly -0.526%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.78%43.83%44.16%45.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.162.132.2548%46%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.38%E -1.96%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-10 20:40
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.38%E -1.96%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-10 20:40
Coral	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.38%E -1.96%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-10 20:40
Sky Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.38%E -1.96%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-10 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.38%E -1.96%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-10 20:44
betfred_uk	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.38%E -1.96%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-11 00:04
SportsBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-10 20:40
Neds	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-10 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-10 20:40
888sport	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 00:04
NordicBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 00:04
Betsson	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 00:04
William Hill	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 00:25
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-11 00:05
TAB	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-11 00:14
Unibet (UK)	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.62%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-10 20:40
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-10 20:39
Betway	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.28%E -3.47%K -6.62%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-10 21:15
Unibet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:30
Grosvenor	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:29
Unibet (SE)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:29
TABtouch	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:30
Virgin Bet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:29
Casumo	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:29
LiveScore Bet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:30
ATG (SE)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.658%E -0.292%K -0.526%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-10 21:29
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -10.64%E -6.65%K -17.74%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -1.54%E -0.691%K -1.25%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-10 23:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%	6.4%	2026-07-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.34I 74.63%NM 62.57%	2.24I 44.64%NM 37.43%	19.3%	2026-07-10 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.34I 74.63%NM 62.57%	2.24I 44.64%NM 37.43%	19.3%	2026-07-10 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.34I 74.63%NM 52.82%	1.50I 66.67%NM 47.18%	41.3%	2026-07-10 21:15