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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Somerset v Worcestershire

開賽時間： 2026-07-12 17:35 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Somerset (主隊)

預測 66.00%1.52公平賠率
EV +3.63%
優勢 +2.31%
Kelly +6.36%
成長率 +0.231%

假設最高賠率為 1.57

博彩公司預測分布
60.25%65.01%66.06%67.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.451.441.5771.43%69.04%69.44%63.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Worcestershire (客隊)

預測 34.00%2.94公平賠率
EV -1.75%
優勢 -0.606%
Kelly -0.927%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.89

博彩公司預測分布
32.63%34.99%33.94%39.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.362.692.752.8942.37%37.18%36.36%34.60%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Somerset (主隊)：66.00%；Worcestershire (客隊)：34.00%。 對於「Somerset (主隊)」，該估計相當於1.52的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為1.57，對應+3.63%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +3.63%E +2.31%K +6.36%G +0.231%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -19.09%E -8.02%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV +1.65%E +1.07%K +3.05%G +0.050%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -19.77%E -8.38%K -14.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.994%E -0.663%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -2.31%E -1.56%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -16.37%E -6.65%K -11.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:09
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.29%E -2.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:14
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:14
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:19
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.95%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 17:29
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:30
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.27%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -1.75%E -0.606%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.43%E -0.847%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 17:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.43%E -0.847%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 17:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.59%E -5.42%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 17:29
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-12 17:25
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-07-12 17:30
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-07-12 17:30