Somerset v Northamptonshire

2026-07-10 17:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Somerset (Local)

Prediction 47.93%2.09fair odd

EV -1.74%

Edge -0.848%

Kelly -1.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.19%48.02%47.53%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.871.962.002.05MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

46.19%2.165Min

50.00%2.000Max

48.02%2.082Mean

47.53%2.104Median

47.93%2.086IQM

48.22%2.074Margin-weighted

Northamptonshire (Visit)

Prediction 52.07%1.92fair odd

EV -0.551%

Edge -0.288%

Kelly -0.605%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%51.98%52.47%53.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.751.821.801.91MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

50.00%2.000Min

53.81%1.859Max

51.98%1.924Mean

52.47%1.906Median

52.07%1.921IQM

51.78%1.931Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Somerset (Local) ▼	Northamptonshire (Visit)	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -1.74% E -0.848% K -1.66% G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -8.36% E -4.75% K -11.00% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 01:24
Unibet (UK)	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.42%EV -3.18% E -1.57% K -3.11% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.58%EV -8.88% E -5.08% K -11.84% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-09 01:24
Coral	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.28% E -3.49% K -7.85% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.28% E -3.49% K -7.85% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 01:24
Sky Bet	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.28% E -3.49% K -7.85% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 01:24
Paddy Power	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.28% E -3.49% K -7.85% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.28% E -3.49% K -7.85% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-09 01:25
Neds	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -7.84% E -4.43% K -10.18% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -7.84% E -4.43% K -10.18% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 01:24
Bet Victor	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -8.88% E -5.08% K -11.84% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-09 01:23
Betway	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -4.14% E -2.07% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -8.88% E -5.08% K -11.84% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-09 01:25
Pinnacle	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.40%EV -7.49% E -3.88% K -8.05% G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25% NM 51.60%EV -5.76% E -3.18% K -7.11% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-08 23:55
888sport	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -8.45% E -4.42% K -9.29% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -0.551% E -0.288% K -0.605% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-08 23:59
betfred_uk	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -8.45% E -4.42% K -9.29% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -0.551% E -0.288% K -0.605% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-08 23:56
William Hill	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -8.45% E -4.42% K -9.29% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -0.551% E -0.288% K -0.605% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 00:00
Betsson	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -8.93% E -4.70% K -9.92% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -1.07% E -0.564% K -1.19% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 23:59
NordicBet	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -8.93% E -4.70% K -9.92% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -1.07% E -0.564% K -1.19% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 00:00
TAB	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -8.93% E -4.70% K -9.92% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -1.07% E -0.564% K -1.19% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 00:09
Betr (AU)	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -10.37% E -5.54% K -11.92% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -2.63% E -1.41% K -3.03% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-08 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Somerset (Local)	Northamptonshire (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.04I 49.02% NM 46.17%	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.83%	6.2%	2026-07-09 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.80I 55.56% NM 44.79%	1.46I 68.49% NM 55.21%	24.0%	2026-07-09 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.80I 55.56% NM 44.79%	1.46I 68.49% NM 55.21%	24.0%	2026-07-09 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.80I 55.56% NM 44.79%	1.46I 68.49% NM 55.21%	24.0%	2026-07-09 02:05