La scuola delle quote

Somerset v Northamptonshire

Inizio: 2026-07-10 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Somerset (Casa)

Previsione 51.06%1.96quota equa
EV +3.14%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +3.08%
Crescita +0.097%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.28%50.57%51.19%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.841.822.0256.18%54.48%54.95%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Northamptonshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.94%2.04quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.43%48.81%53.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.941.942.0057.47%51.53%51.41%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV +3.14%E +1.56%K +3.08%G +0.097%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -14.85%E -8.53%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 17:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:59
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:56
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 10:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.54%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:04
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.54%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.54%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 17:09
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.56%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 17:24
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.56%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 17:04
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.56%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 17:04
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:49
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:50
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:50
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:49
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:49
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.07%E -3.88%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.58%E -4.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 17:24
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:08
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:09
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 17:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 17:25
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -9.11%E -5.12%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 13:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-10 17:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-10 17:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-07-10 17:25