Language:English
Nottinghamshire v Leicestershire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nottinghamshire (Local)
Prediction 64.08%1.56fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.44%64.13%67.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.471.481.5073.53%67.81%67.80%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leicestershire (Visit)
Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.15%35.56%35.87%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.622.602.8738.91%38.19%38.46%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV +3.08%E +1.07%K +1.65%G +0.051% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 17:00 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.11%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.11%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 17:20 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 18:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 17:19 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:04 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:05 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 13:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-10 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.91%EV -7.70%E -2.99%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 17:25 |