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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Nottinghamshire v Leicestershire

开赛时间： 2026-07-10 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Nottinghamshire (主队)

预测 64.08%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -2.58%
Kelly -7.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
63.41%64.44%64.13%67.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.471.481.5073.53%67.81%67.80%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Leicestershire (客队)

预测 35.92%2.78公平赔率
EV +3.08%
优势 +1.07%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.051%

假设最高赔率为 2.87

博彩公司预测分布
32.15%35.56%35.87%36.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.572.622.602.8738.91%38.19%38.46%34.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nottinghamshire (主队)：64.08%；Leicestershire (客队)：35.92%。 对于“Leicestershire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.87，对应+3.08%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV +3.08%E +1.07%K +1.65%G +0.051%8.4%2026-07-10 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -4.46%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:00
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.11%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.11%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:20
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:39
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.90%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 17:20
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 17:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:39
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.87%E -2.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 17:19
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.16%E -3.48%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:04
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:04
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:05
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.80%E -3.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.62%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.91%EV -7.70%E -2.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 17:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-10 17:25
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-10 17:25
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-07-10 17:25