赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Northamptonshire v Somerset

开赛时间： 2026-07-18 10:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Northamptonshire (主队)

预测 38.65%2.59公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.564%
Kelly -0.927%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.35%39.71%38.70%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.092.402.452.5547.85%41.60%40.82%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Somerset (客队)

预测 61.35%1.63公平赔率
EV +6.13%
优势 +3.54%
Kelly +8.40%
增长率 +0.515%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
54.83%60.29%61.30%62.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.571.551.7366.67%63.85%64.52%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Northamptonshire (主队)：38.65%；Somerset (客队)：61.35%。 对于“Somerset (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.63。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.73，对应+6.13%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -18.83%E -8.97%K -17.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +6.13%E +3.54%K +8.40%G +0.515%5.4%2026-07-18 08:05
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -19.22%E -9.19%K -17.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV +3.06%E +1.82%K +4.51%G +0.138%7.4%2026-07-18 08:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -17.28%E -8.08%K -15.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 09:35
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 09:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 09:50
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.24%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 09:57
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 09:59
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.44%E -0.564%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 09:54
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 09:58
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-07-18 09:55
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-07-18 09:55